Market
Mexico's Policy Change in Response to U.S. Pressures by May 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Stricter border enforcement • 25%
Enhanced cooperation with U.S. • 25%
Increased domestic drug enforcement • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Official announcements from the Mexican government
Story
Mexico Seizes Record Fentanyl in Sinaloa Amid Trump's 25% Tariff Threats
Dec 4, 2024, 02:15 PM
Mexican authorities have seized a record amount of fentanyl in the northern state of Sinaloa, a move that comes days after U.S. President-elect Donald Trump threatened to impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico. These threats were part of Trump's strategy to pressure both countries into cracking down on the flow of migrants and drugs across the border. Mexican officials, including the governor of the border state of Tamaulipas, are preparing for potential challenges arising from Trump's policies, indicating a readiness to address any issues related to migration and trade. Meanwhile, despite the threats, thousands continue to cross the U.S.-Mexico border in hopes of reaching the United States before Trump's inauguration.
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Neutral Stance • 25%
Negative Response • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Positive Engagement • 25%
Request for International Mediation • 25%
Rejection of US Actions • 25%
Cooperation with US • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
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Neutral stance • 25%
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Support • 25%
Other • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Support • 25%
Oppose • 25%
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Negotiated agreement with the US • 25%
Formal diplomatic protest • 25%
Strengthened consular support • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Drug Cartel Cooperation • 25%
Other • 25%
Border Security • 25%
Trade Agreement • 25%
Public awareness campaigns • 25%
Increased legal support • 25%
Financial assistance programs • 25%
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