Market
U.S. and Panama to hold diplomatic talks on Panama Canal by May 31, 2025?
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Panama•United Nations•Donald Trump•Panama Canal•Panamanian•José Mulino•UN•António Guterres•Trump•Hong Kong
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from either the U.S. State Department or the Panamanian government
Story
Panama Complains to UN Over Trump's Threat to Seize Canal, Led by José Mulino
Jan 22, 2025, 12:49 AM
Panama has formally complained to the United Nations regarding U.S. President Donald Trump's statements about potentially seizing the Panama Canal. The Panamanian government, led by President José Mulino, expressed its concerns in a letter to UN Secretary-General António Guterres. The complaint highlights the 'worrying' nature of Trump's remarks, which have been interpreted as threats to the interoceanic waterway. In conjunction with this diplomatic move, Panama has initiated an audit of the Hong Kong-linked operator of two ports located on the canal. The situation underscores rising tensions between Panama and the U.S. over the future of the canal, a crucial global shipping route.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Panama retains control with fee reduction • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Panama agrees • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
US withdraws proposal • 25%
Panama rejects • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. demands • 25%
