Market
Significant shift in Venezuela's international relations by end of 2025?
1
Nicolás Maduro•National Assembly•Caracas•Edmundo González Urrutia•Maduro•United States•European Union•United Kingdom
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from international governments or credible news outlets
Story
Venezuela's Maduro Sworn In for Third Term as Opposition Decries 'Coup d'etat'
Jan 10, 2025, 04:00 PM
Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro was sworn in before the National Assembly on Friday for a third six-year term, extending his rule until 2031 despite widespread protests and allegations of election fraud. Thousands took to the streets on the eve of the inauguration in Caracas, denouncing the July 28, 2024 election as fraudulent. Opposition leader Edmundo González Urrutia and other critics accuse Maduro of refusing to release official election results and have labeled his inauguration a 'coup d'etat.' Maduro, who has been in power since 2013, faces increasing isolation as countries like the United States, European Union, and the United Kingdom have rejected the election outcome and imposed sanctions against his government. Despite international condemnation and domestic unrest, Maduro pledged that his new term will be a period of peace and democracy.
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Neutral stance • 25%
Remains aligned with Russia/China/Iran • 25%
Aligns more with the US • 25%
Other alignment • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Democratic Transition • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Human Rights Violations • 25%
Alliance with China • 25%
Alliance with Russia • 25%
No new alliances • 25%
Alliance with Iran • 25%
Improvement in relations • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Diplomatic ties severed • 25%
Edmundo González assumes full control • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
New leadership emerges • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains in power • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No official response • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Support • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
González takes office • 25%
Military takes control • 25%
Other leadership change • 25%
UN-backed intervention occurs • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Non-UN international intervention occurs • 25%
No military intervention • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Maduro replaced by ally • 25%
Military coup • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Opposition takes power • 25%