Market
What leadership changes will occur within the Venezuelan government by the end of 2025?
2
United States•Venezuelan•Nicolás Maduro•Maduro•Diosdado Cabello•Vladimir Padrino López•PDVSA•CONVIASA
Resolution / Starting Odds
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Maduro replaced by ally • 25%
Opposition takes power • 25%
Military coup • 25%
Official announcements from the Venezuelan government or credible international news sources
Story
U.S. Raises Reward to $25 Million for Capturing Maduro, Imposes Sanctions Amid Disputed Third Term
Jan 10, 2025, 05:20 PM
The United States has elevated the reward for information leading to the arrest or conviction of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro from $15 million to $25 million. This announcement comes as Maduro is sworn in for a contested third six-year term, following elections that were widely disputed and criticized by the international community. In addition to Maduro, the U.S. has increased the reward for Diosdado Cabello, the Minister of the Interior and a key ally, to $25 million, and for Vladimir Padrino López, the Minister of Defense, to $15 million. The U.S. government, which does not recognize Maduro's presidency as legitimate, has also imposed new sanctions against officials linked to state institutions, including the state oil company PDVSA and the national airline CONVIASA, as part of a broader effort to pressure the Maduro regime.
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Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains in power • 25%
Edmundo González assumes full control • 25%
New leadership emerges • 25%
Military or interim government • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains • 25%
Edmundo González takes over • 25%
Another opposition leader takes over • 25%
Other leadership change • 25%
González takes office • 25%
Military takes control • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Military takeover • 25%
Edmundo González becomes President • 25%
Maduro remains President • 25%
Another opposition leader becomes President • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Political reforms • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Economic reforms • 25%
Nicolas Maduro • 25%
Other • 25%
Another opposition leader • 25%
Edmundo Gonzalez Urrutia • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as President • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Maduro remains President • 25%
New elections called • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as president • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
González assumes presidency • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Edmundo González becomes president • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains president • 25%