Market
Which new diplomatic alliance will Venezuela form by end of 2025?
3
Venezuela•Paraguay•Paraguayan•Santiago Peña•Venezuelan•Edmundo González•Nicolás Maduro•Peña•González•Maduro•South American•María Corina Machado
Resolution / Starting Odds
Alliance with Russia • 25%
Alliance with China • 25%
Alliance with Iran • 25%
No new alliances • 25%
Official announcements from Venezuelan government or international news
Story
Venezuela Cuts Ties with Paraguay After Maduro Orders Diplomatic Withdrawal Over Support for González
Jan 6, 2025, 07:16 PM
Venezuela has severed diplomatic relations with Paraguay, following statements from Paraguayan President Santiago Peña expressing support for Venezuelan opposition leader Edmundo González. The decision, announced by Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, includes the immediate withdrawal of Venezuelan diplomatic personnel from Paraguay, with Paraguay ordering the Venezuelan ambassador and staff to leave within 48 hours. This move comes in response to Peña's recognition of González as the legitimate president-elect of Venezuela, a claim made after a disputed election in July where both Maduro and González declared victory. The rupture in diplomatic ties was formalized less than 24 hours after Peña's public support for González, escalating tensions between the two South American nations. Additionally, Peña had also engaged in discussions with another opposition figure, María Corina Machado, during a virtual meeting.
View original story
Similar markets
Other alignment • 25%
Remains aligned with Russia/China/Iran • 25%
Aligns more with the US • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Impose travel restrictions • 25%
Issue another 'persona non grata' declaration • 25%
No further action • 25%
Request diplomatic talks with Mexico • 25%
Other • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Improvement in relations • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Diplomatic ties severed • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
No official response • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Human Rights Violations • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Democratic Transition • 25%
Brazil • 25%
Colombia • 25%
Argentina • 25%
Other • 25%
González takes office • 25%
Other leadership change • 25%
Military takes control • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
European Union • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
United States • 25%