Market
Outcome of Edmundo González Urrutia's opposition efforts by end of 2025?
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Nicolás Maduro•National Assembly•Caracas•Edmundo González Urrutia•Maduro•United States•European Union•United Kingdom
Resolution / Starting Odds
Gains significant political power • 25%
Remains in opposition with little change • 25%
Exiled or imprisoned • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from credible news outlets and political analysts
Story
Venezuela's Maduro Sworn In for Third Term as Opposition Decries 'Coup d'etat'
Jan 10, 2025, 04:00 PM
Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro was sworn in before the National Assembly on Friday for a third six-year term, extending his rule until 2031 despite widespread protests and allegations of election fraud. Thousands took to the streets on the eve of the inauguration in Caracas, denouncing the July 28, 2024 election as fraudulent. Opposition leader Edmundo González Urrutia and other critics accuse Maduro of refusing to release official election results and have labeled his inauguration a 'coup d'etat.' Maduro, who has been in power since 2013, faces increasing isolation as countries like the United States, European Union, and the United Kingdom have rejected the election outcome and imposed sanctions against his government. Despite international condemnation and domestic unrest, Maduro pledged that his new term will be a period of peace and democracy.
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Similar markets
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Maduro retains presidency • 25%
González Urrutia assumes presidency • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased recognition • 25%
No change • 25%
Decreased recognition • 25%
Leading opposition in Venezuela • 25%
In custody • 25%
In exile • 25%
Other status • 25%
Exiled again • 25%
Other • 25%
Returns safely • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Remains in hiding • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Inaugurated as President • 25%
Leaves Venezuela again • 25%
Successfully returns and assumes presidency • 25%
Returns but is arrested • 25%
Does not return • 25%
Returns but faces other outcomes • 25%
Returns voluntarily • 25%
Remains in exile • 25%
Captured • 25%
Negotiates a settlement • 25%
Returns but not arrested or assumes presidency • 25%
Arrested upon return • 25%
Does not return • 25%
Successfully assumes presidency • 25%
Recognized as Venezuelan President • 25%
Remains in exile • 25%
Other political role or status • 25%
Arrested or detained • 25%
Blocked by current government • 25%
Successfully assumes presidency • 25%
Does not return • 25%
Returns but does not assume presidency • 25%