Market
Russian ship Yantar involved in another international incident by April 30, 2025?
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Royal Navy•Russian•Yantar•British•John Healey•Parliament•English Channel•UK•Exclusive Economic Zone•HMS Somerset•RFA Proteus•Healey•Vladimir Putin
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Credible news reports or official statements from involved countries
Story
Royal Navy Sub Surfaces Near Russian Spy Ship Yantar in English Channel; Healey Warns Putin 'We See You'
Jan 22, 2025, 03:03 PM
The Royal Navy has been monitoring the Russian intelligence vessel Yantar after it entered British waters earlier this week, approximately 45 miles off the British coast. Defence Secretary John Healey informed Parliament that the Russian ship, known for gathering intelligence and mapping critical underwater infrastructure, was tracked as it passed through the English Channel and the UK's Exclusive Economic Zone. The Royal Navy frigate HMS Somerset, support ship RFA Proteus, and a submarine, which surfaced near the Yantar to warn it, were deployed to monitor and shadow the vessel. Healey issued a warning to President Vladimir Putin, stating, "We see you, we know what you are doing, and we will not shy away from robust action to protect this country." Healey emphasized the UK's commitment to safeguarding its maritime infrastructure against growing Russian threats.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
UN intervention • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Bilateral talks between UK and Russia • 25%
Joint NATO response • 25%
No major incident • 25%
Detainment due to violations • 25%
Collision/Accident • 25%
Oil spill • 25%
Increase military presence • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Impose sanctions on Russia • 25%
Issue a diplomatic protest • 25%
Russia and another NATO country • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia and non-NATO country • 25%
Russia and Germany • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Other • 25%
Natural causes • 25%