Market
Which countries will be involved in the next Baltic Sea incident by February 28, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia and Germany • 25%
Russia and another NATO country • 25%
Russia and non-NATO country • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from credible news sources or official statements from involved countries
Story
Russian Ship Fires Red Warning Munition at German Helicopter, Raising Baltic Sea Tensions
Dec 4, 2024, 01:16 PM
A Russian ship in the Baltic Sea fired red warning ammunition at a German military helicopter more than a week ago. The incident occurred when the German helicopter, part of a frigate, was conducting a reconnaissance mission. The Russian vessel was on its way to the Mediterranean when it fired signal flares at the helicopter. German media outlets, including DPA, reported the incident, and German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock mentioned it at a NATO meeting. The incident highlights escalating tensions in the Baltic Sea between Russia and the West.
View original story
Similar markets
Accidental • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Other • 25%
Sweden • 25%
Finland • 25%
Netherlands • 25%
Other • 25%
France • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Germany • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other state actors • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Non-state actors • 25%
Maritime patrol aircraft encounter • 25%
No major incident • 25%
Frigate encounter • 25%
Naval drone encounter • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No official response • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Increased patrols • 25%
Other • 25%
Other NATO member • 25%
Germany • 25%
United States • 25%
France • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Germany • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Germany • 25%
France • 25%