Market
Will there be another incident involving Russian and NATO forces in the Baltic Sea by February 28, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from credible news sources or official statements from NATO or Russian authorities
Story
Russian Ship Fires Red Warning Munition at German Helicopter, Raising Baltic Sea Tensions
Dec 4, 2024, 01:16 PM
A Russian ship in the Baltic Sea fired red warning ammunition at a German military helicopter more than a week ago. The incident occurred when the German helicopter, part of a frigate, was conducting a reconnaissance mission. The Russian vessel was on its way to the Mediterranean when it fired signal flares at the helicopter. German media outlets, including DPA, reported the incident, and German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock mentioned it at a NATO meeting. The incident highlights escalating tensions in the Baltic Sea between Russia and the West.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Naval drone encounter • 25%
Maritime patrol aircraft encounter • 25%
No major incident • 25%
Frigate encounter • 25%
Other • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Accidental • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Talks breakdown • 25%
Resolution reached • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased patrols • 25%
Other • 25%
