Market
Reason for TikTok's U.S. status by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
National security concerns • 25%
Economic interests • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Official statements from TikTok, U.S. or Chinese government agencies
Story
China Signals Willingness to Work with Trump on Deal to Keep TikTok in the U.S., Reports WSJ
Jan 20, 2025, 01:40 PM
China has indicated its willingness to cooperate with Donald Trump to facilitate the continued operation of TikTok in the United States. Multiple reports confirm that China will not obstruct a potential deal aimed at keeping the popular social media platform active in the U.S. market. The Wall Street Journal was among the first to report on this development, highlighting China's shift in stance regarding TikTok's future in the country.
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No change • 25%
Government ban • 25%
Acquisition by U.S. entity • 25%
Voluntary withdrawal • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Banned and inaccessible • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
National security concerns • 25%
Financial offer acceptance • 25%
Legal settlements • 25%
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Deal finalized • 25%
Banned • 25%
90-day extension granted • 25%
TikTok remains operational with ByteDance ownership • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok remains operational with new ownership • 25%
Government ownership • 25%
Sale to U.S. company • 25%
Ban lifted with no changes • 25%
Continued ban • 25%
Other • 25%
Operations continue with restrictions • 25%
Operations cease • 25%
Operations continue without changes • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Acquired by U.S. entity • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Unrestricted operations • 25%
Acquired by U.S. company • 25%
Government stake • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operates independently • 25%
Operational without change • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%