Market
Outcome of TikTok's US status by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Banned • 25%
90-day extension granted • 25%
Deal finalized • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the US government or TikTok.
Story
Trump to 'Most Likely' Grant TikTok 90-Day Extension After Ban Set for Sunday
Jan 18, 2025, 06:25 PM
President-elect Donald Trump stated in an interview with NBC News on Saturday that he will "most likely" grant TikTok a 90-day extension to avoid a ban in the United States after he takes office on Monday. The ban is currently set to take effect on Sunday after the Supreme Court upheld it. Trump noted, "We have to look at it carefully. It's a very big situation," and mentioned that he hasn't made a final decision yet. The extension would provide TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, additional time to negotiate a deal to continue operations in the U.S.
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Negotiated Sale • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
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TikTok remains available without ByteDance divestment • 25%
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Banned in the US • 25%
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Temporary suspension • 25%
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No change, TikTok operates as is • 25%
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Operating under ByteDance • 25%
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ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
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ByteDance divests and TikTok continues operations • 25%
TikTok is banned in the U.S. • 25%