Market
Primary legal response to security clearance revocation by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
No legal action • 25%
Lawsuit filed • 25%
Congressional hearing • 25%
Other • 25%
Court rulings, legal filings, and news reports
Story
Trump Revokes Security Clearances of 51 Officials Over Hunter Biden Laptop Letter and Bolton's Memoir
Jan 21, 2025, 07:28 PM
President Donald Trump has revoked the security clearances of 51 former intelligence officials and his former National Security Advisor, John Bolton, on his first day back in office. The action against the intelligence officials stems from their signing of a 2020 letter that claimed Hunter Biden's laptop had 'all the classic earmarks of a Russian information operation.' The letter was criticized for its potential impact on the 2020 presidential election. Trump's executive order also targeted Bolton, citing his 2019 memoir which contained sensitive information from his time in government. The order aims to address what Trump perceives as abuses of public trust and misuse of security clearances for political gain.
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File a lawsuit • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Petition for reinstatement • 25%
Seek a congressional review • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
Legal challenge outcome • 25%
National security concerns • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Opposed • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Divided • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
FBI • 25%
NSA • 25%
Other • 25%
CIA • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Forceful compliance order • 25%
Legal action against security service • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%