Market
Additional security clearances revoked related to Hunter Biden laptop letter by June 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements or executive orders from the White House
Story
Trump Revokes Security Clearances of 51 Officials Over Hunter Biden Laptop Letter and Bolton's Memoir
Jan 21, 2025, 07:28 PM
President Donald Trump has revoked the security clearances of 51 former intelligence officials and his former National Security Advisor, John Bolton, on his first day back in office. The action against the intelligence officials stems from their signing of a 2020 letter that claimed Hunter Biden's laptop had 'all the classic earmarks of a Russian information operation.' The letter was criticized for its potential impact on the 2020 presidential election. Trump's executive order also targeted Bolton, citing his 2019 memoir which contained sensitive information from his time in government. The order aims to address what Trump perceives as abuses of public trust and misuse of security clearances for political gain.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Partially implemented • 25%
Blocked by legal action • 25%
Implemented without issue • 25%
Revoked by Trump administration • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
National security concerns • 25%
Other • 25%
Violation of confidentiality • 25%
Political misconduct • 25%
No legal challenge • 25%
Legal challenge filed • 25%
Reversal of suspension • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%