Market
Will there be legal challenges to Trump's security clearance suspension by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court filings or news reports on legal challenges
Story
Trump to Suspend Security Clearances of 51 Officials for False Russian Disinformation Claims on Hunter Biden's Laptop
Jan 20, 2025, 01:11 AM
President-elect Donald Trump plans to suspend the security clearances of 51 former intelligence officials who claimed that reporting on Hunter Biden's laptop had 'the classic earmarks' of Russian disinformation ahead of the 2020 election. This action is part of a series of executive orders Trump is expected to sign on his first day back in the Oval Office. The officials had signed a letter in 2020 suggesting that the laptop story was part of a Russian disinformation campaign, despite no evidence supporting their claims. The decision to suspend the clearances is aimed at addressing what Trump perceives as corruption within the intelligence community.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Reversal of suspension • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Legal challenge filed • 25%
No legal challenge • 25%
Blocked by legal action • 25%
Revoked by Trump administration • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Implemented without issue • 25%
Challenges from state level • 25%
Challenges from federal level • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Challenges from both levels • 25%
Minor Legal Challenges • 25%
Significant Legal Challenges • 25%
No Legal Challenges • 25%
Unclear Outcome • 25%
