Market
Primary legal action by intelligence officials against security clearance revocations by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
File a lawsuit • 25%
Seek a congressional review • 25%
Petition for reinstatement • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Court filings or public announcements from legal representatives of the officials
Story
Trump Revokes Security Clearances of 51 Intelligence Officials and John Bolton Over Misinformation
Jan 20, 2025, 12:13 PM
President Donald Trump has revoked the security clearances of 51 former intelligence officials who signed a letter in 2020 claiming that Hunter Biden's laptop was part of a Russian disinformation campaign. The decision, part of a series of executive orders signed on his first day back in office, targets officials who Trump alleges misled the public ahead of the 2020 presidential election. Additionally, Trump revoked the security clearance of former National Security Advisor John Bolton, citing his publication of a memoir containing sensitive information.
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No legal action • 25%
Other • 25%
Congressional hearing • 25%
Lawsuit filed • 25%
Legal challenge outcome • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
National security concerns • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Indifferent • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Divided • 25%
Opposed • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
NSA • 25%
CIA • 25%
Other • 25%
FBI • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public Reprimands • 25%
Other Actions • 25%
Further Suspensions • 25%
No Further Actions • 25%