Market
Congressional investigation into security clearance revocations by September 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements or documentation from the U.S. Congress
Story
Trump Revokes Security Clearances of 51 Intelligence Officials and John Bolton Over Misinformation
Jan 20, 2025, 12:13 PM
President Donald Trump has revoked the security clearances of 51 former intelligence officials who signed a letter in 2020 claiming that Hunter Biden's laptop was part of a Russian disinformation campaign. The decision, part of a series of executive orders signed on his first day back in office, targets officials who Trump alleges misled the public ahead of the 2020 presidential election. Additionally, Trump revoked the security clearance of former National Security Advisor John Bolton, citing his publication of a memoir containing sensitive information.
View original story
Similar markets
Opposed • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Divided • 25%
National security concerns • 25%
Legal challenge outcome • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other outcomes • 25%
Initiation of legal proceedings • 25%
Recommendations for policy change • 25%
No action taken • 25%
No legal action • 25%
Congressional hearing • 25%
Lawsuit filed • 25%
Other • 25%
