Market
Primary consequence of U.S. airstrikes on Houthi facilities by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased Houthi attacks • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies or official statements from involved parties
Story
U.S. Conducts Precision Strikes on Houthi Weapons Facilities in Yemen on January 8, 2025, with No Injuries Reported
Jan 8, 2025, 11:42 AM
On January 8, 2025, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) confirmed that it conducted multiple precision airstrikes targeting two underground storage facilities used by the Iranian-backed Houthi movement in Yemen. The strikes were aimed at Advanced Conventional Weapons (ACW) storage sites located in Houthi-controlled areas, specifically in the capital city of Sana’a and the Amran region. CENTCOM reported that the facilities had been utilized by the Houthis to launch attacks on commercial shipping and U.S. warships. The military statement indicated that there were no injuries or damage to U.S. personnel or equipment as a result of these operations.
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Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
Houthi capabilities strengthened • 25%
No measurable impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliatory attacks • 25%
Houthi military capabilities significantly reduced • 25%
Moderate impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
No measurable impact • 25%
Minimal impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Limited impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Houthi retaliation • 25%
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Other outcome • 25%
Houthi retaliation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Minimal impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Increased military tension • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliation • 25%
No discernible impact • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
