Market
Outcome of US-UK airstrikes on Houthi positions by June 30, 2025?
2
US•UK•Yemen•Houthi•Sanaa•Houthi Ministry of Defense•Houthis•Israel•Arrow•Iran•Houthi attacks•Red Sea•Gulf of Aden
Resolution / Starting Odds
Continued escalation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Houthi retaliation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from involved governments and reputable international news agencies
Story
US-UK Airstrikes Hit Houthi Ministry of Defense in Yemen After Attacks on Israel
Dec 16, 2024, 07:35 PM
The US and UK conducted airstrikes in Yemen, targeting Houthi positions in the capital Sanaa. The strikes reportedly hit the Houthi Ministry of Defense building and other facilities used for coordinating Houthi operations. This military action follows a series of attacks by Yemen's Houthis, including a ballistic missile launch towards central Israel, intercepted by Israel's Arrow missile defense system. The Houthis, backed by Iran, have escalated their attacks on Israel, firing multiple ballistic missiles and drones since November, prompting concerns over regional stability. Israel, which has been largely silent on the Houthi attacks until recently, is now preparing for a potential counter-strike in Yemen. The US military stated that the targeted facility in Yemen served as a hub for coordinating Houthi operations, particularly against US ships in the southern Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden.
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Houthi retaliation • 25%
Significant Houthi military setback • 25%
Limited impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Houthi capabilities strengthened • 25%
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No measurable impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No measurable impact • 25%
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minimal impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Moderate impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Houthi military capabilities significantly reduced • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliatory attacks • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Increased Houthi attacks • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military tension • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Minimal impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
Continued hostilities • 25%
Increased US military involvement • 25%
Withdrawal of US forces • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Limited success • 25%
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Major success • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
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Significant disruption of Houthi capabilities • 25%
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