Market
Outcome of U.S. airstrikes on Houthi targets by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No measurable impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Houthi capabilities strengthened • 25%
Reports from U.S. Central Command or credible international news agencies
Story
U.S. Strikes Houthi Missile Sites in Sanaa; Intercepts Drones Over Red Sea
Dec 21, 2024, 09:18 PM
On December 21, 2024, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) announced that it conducted precision airstrikes against Iranian-backed Houthi targets in Sanaa, Yemen. The strikes targeted a missile storage facility and a command-and-control center operated by the Houthis, utilizing F/A-18 Hornet fighter jets. During the operation, CENTCOM forces also intercepted and shot down multiple Houthi drones and an anti-ship cruise missile over the Red Sea. The strikes aimed to disrupt and degrade the Houthis' ability to carry out attacks on U.S. Navy ships and address threats to navigation in the Red Sea.
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Moderate impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
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Escalation of conflict • 25%
Minimal impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
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Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
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