Market
Primary outcome of U.S. strikes on Houthi facilities by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Houthi military capabilities significantly reduced • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliatory attacks • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official reports from U.S. Central Command, Houthi statements, or verified news reports
Story
U.S. Navy Launches Tomahawk Missiles from Red Sea at Houthi Facilities in Yemen on December 31
Jan 4, 2025, 12:05 PM
The U.S. Navy launched Tomahawk Land Attack Missiles (TLAMs) from guided-missile destroyers of the Harry S. Truman Carrier Strike Group, operating in the Red Sea, targeting Houthi command and control, weapon production, and storage facilities in Yemen on December 31. The strikes were aimed at facilities belonging to the Iranian-backed Houthi group, as announced by U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM). Footage of the missile launches from the USS Stout (DDG-55) and USS Jason Dunham (DDG-109) was released by CENTCOM, showcasing the operation against the Houthi targets.
View original story
Similar markets
Houthi capabilities strengthened • 25%
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No measurable impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minimal impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No measurable impact • 25%
Moderate impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased Houthi attacks • 25%
Minimal impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Houthi retaliation • 25%
Significant Houthi military setback • 25%
Limited impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Houthi retaliation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued escalation • 25%
Major success • 25%
Failure • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Limited success • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military tension • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliation • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No discernible impact • 25%
