Market
Outcome of Trump-Putin discussions on Ukraine by May 31, 2025
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Donald Trump•Russia•Vladimir Putin•Ukraine•Trump•White House•Putin•Russian•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•European Union
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Peace talks agreed • 25%
No change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from the White House or Kremlin
Story
Trump Likely to Sanction Russia if Putin Rejects Ukraine Peace Talks, Urges EU Support
Jan 21, 2025, 11:09 PM
U.S. President Donald Trump has indicated that he is likely to impose additional sanctions on Russia if President Vladimir Putin does not engage in peace talks to end the war in Ukraine. Trump made these remarks during a press conference at the White House, stating that the possibility of further sanctions 'sounds likely' if Putin refuses to come to the negotiating table. Trump also criticized Putin, suggesting that the Russian leader is 'destroying' his country by not seeking a peace agreement with Ukraine. The U.S. President mentioned his intention to speak with Putin soon and reiterated his belief that the war would not have occurred under his previous presidency. Trump also called for a ceasefire and mentioned discussions with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, while urging the European Union to increase its contributions to support Ukraine.
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial withdrawal of Russian forces • 25%
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Other outcome • 25%
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No agreement, further talks planned • 25%
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Meeting Postponed/Cancelled • 25%
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Meeting occurs but escalates conflict • 25%
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Meeting postponed • 25%
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Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Agreement without security guarantees • 25%
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