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Outcome of Syrian Power Transition by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful Transition to Transitional Government • 25%
Return to Previous Government Structure • 25%
Continued Conflict and Instability • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official reports from the Syrian government and international news agencies
Story
Syrian PM Al-Jalali Transfers Power to HTS-Led Operations, Anti-Regime Forces Take Key Role
Dec 8, 2024, 06:55 AM
Syrian Prime Minister Mohammad Ghazi Al-Jalali has left his residence in Damascus to transfer his official powers to the Syrian Department of Military Operations, which is reportedly led by Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), an opposition group. Reports indicate that this transition marks a significant shift in authority, with anti-regime forces and rebel leaders now playing a central role in governance. Al-Jalali is said to have moved to a hotel as part of this handover process, which may involve the establishment of a transitional government.
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Other outcome • 25%
New government formed • 25%
Prolonged conflict • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Opposition takes control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
Assad regime retains control • 25%
Interim government with international oversight • 25%
Continued civil unrest with no clear leadership • 25%
Military junta takes control • 25%
Democratic government established • 25%
Opposition leader takes power • 25%
Interim government • 25%
Bashar al-Assad remains in power • 25%
New leader from Assad's party • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stable government formed • 25%
Return of Assad's regime • 25%
Ongoing political instability • 25%
New coalition government • 25%
Other leadership structure • 25%
Military-led government • 25%
HTS-led government • 25%
Regime Change • 25%
Other • 25%
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Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Government gains significant ground • 25%
Rebels gain significant ground • 25%
Government Regains Control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ongoing civil conflict • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Partial Rebel Control • 25%
Complete Rebel Victory • 25%
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Opposition victory • 25%
Government regains full control • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Government retains power • 25%
Bashar al-Assad remains • 25%
New leader emerges • 25%
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Interim government formed • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
Opposition advances into Damascus • 25%
Government retains control with no significant changes • 25%
Other significant developments • 25%
