Market
How will TikTok resolve its national security concerns by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Security Measures Implemented • 25%
No Changes Made • 25%
Partial Measures • 25%
Ban Enforced • 25%
Official US government statement or TikTok announcement
Story
President-elect Trump Likely to Grant TikTok 90-Day Extension, Decision Expected Monday
Jan 18, 2025, 05:40 PM
President-elect Donald Trump stated in an interview with NBC News' Kristen Welker on Saturday that he will "most likely" grant TikTok a 90-day extension to avoid a potential ban in the United States after he assumes office on Monday. Trump indicated that he has not made a final decision but said, "If I decide to do that, I'll probably announce it on Monday." The extension would provide TikTok, owned by China's ByteDance, additional time to negotiate a sale or address national security concerns raised by U.S. officials.
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Similar markets
Sale to U.S. Entity • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Concerns Unresolved • 25%
Concerns Resolved • 25%
Resolved with new ownership • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Resolved with security measures • 25%
Ongoing legal battle • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Operational restrictions imposed • 25%
Security concerns resolved • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Security concerns unresolved • 25%
Non-compliance leading to ban • 25%
Fully compliant with no changes • 25%
Compliant after divestment • 25%
Compliant after operational changes • 25%
No changes • 25%
Partial divestiture • 25%
Complete divestiture • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
Concerns unresolved • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Concerns resolved with new policy • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Concerns partially addressed • 25%
New concerns arise • 25%
Concerns remain • 25%
Concerns fully addressed • 25%
Nationwide ban • 25%
Acquisition by U.S. entity • 25%
Continued operation under ByteDance • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
TikTok implements security measures • 25%
TikTok sold to a U.S. company • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
TikTok remains with ByteDance • 25%
New partnership deal • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. company • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Ban lifted with no changes • 25%
Sale to U.S. company • 25%
Government ownership • 25%
Continued ban • 25%