Market
How will Turkey's national security threats in Syria be resolved by December 31, 2025?
2
Turkish National Security Council•MGK•Presidential Complex•Beştepe•Recep Tayyip Erdoğan•Syria•Iraq•Turkey•FETÖ•ISIS•DEAŞ•Syrian
Resolution / Starting Odds
All threats eliminated • 25%
Major threats reduced • 25%
Minor threats remain • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reports from international security agencies or credible international news agencies
Story
Turkey's National Security Council, Chaired by Erdoğan, Urges Syrian Reconciliation, Vows to Eliminate PKK and ISIS Threats
Dec 5, 2024, 02:48 PM
Today, the Turkish National Security Council (MGK) convened at the Presidential Complex in Beştepe under the chairmanship of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. The approximately three-hour meeting focused on recent developments in Syria, ongoing operations in northern Iraq, and regional security issues. In its statement, the MGK emphasized Turkey's commitment to preserving national security and combating terrorism, declaring that terrorist organizations, including PKK/KCK-PYD/YPG, FETÖ, and ISIS (DEAŞ), will not be allowed to exploit instability in Syria. The council underscored the importance of Syria's territorial integrity and urged the Syrian regime to reconcile with its own people and the legitimate opposition. All threats to Turkey's national security and people will be eliminated.
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Bilateral Agreement Signed • 25%
No Resolution • 25%
Unilateral Actions by Turkey • 25%
Mediation by Third Party • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Successful Constitutional Reform • 25%
Deterioration in Relations • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Increased Security Cooperation • 25%
Counter-terrorism operations • 25%
Support for Syrian opposition • 25%
Negotiations with Syrian government • 25%
Other priorities • 25%
Increased tensions with Syrian government • 25%
Improved relations with Syrian government • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Consulate not opened and relations worsen • 25%
Consulate not opened due to diplomatic issues • 25%
Consulate opened but relations remain tense • 25%
Consulate opened and diplomatic relations improved • 25%
Ceasefire without formal agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Continued military conflict • 25%
Other significant outcome • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Diplomatic resolutions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Partial resolution • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Failure with loss of territory • 25%
Complete success with full control established • 25%
Partial success with some areas controlled • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Continued military engagement • 25%
Ceasefire reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
