Market
What will be the resolution of the Ukraine war by December 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire • 25%
Full withdrawal of Russian forces • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Official announcements or agreements from the governments involved or international organizations
Story
Trump Claims 'Some Progress' in Efforts to End Ukraine War, Urges Zelenskyy to Prepare for Deal Amid 'Astronomical' Casualties
Dec 16, 2024, 05:50 PM
President-elect Donald Trump announced that he is making efforts to end the ongoing war in Ukraine, claiming to have achieved 'some progress' in negotiations. During a press conference at Mar-a-Lago, Trump emphasized the severe human cost of the conflict, stating, 'the number of soldiers killed on both sides is astronomical,' and described the situation as 'carnage' that must be stopped. He indicated plans to engage in discussions with both Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, urging Zelenskyy to prepare for a potential peace deal. Trump acknowledged the complexity of the situation, noting that the conflict has resulted in casualties far exceeding reported figures. He expressed determination to facilitate a resolution, stating, 'We gotta stop it. It's carnage.'
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No agreement • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Peace Agreement Signed • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Conflict ends with peace agreement • 25%
Conflict continues at current levels • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Significant territorial changes • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Formal ceasefire • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Full Peace Agreement • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%