Market
How will strategic alliances in Asia change by December 31, 2025, due to the North Korea-Russia defense pact?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Formation of a new military alliance • 25%
Increased US presence in Asia • 25%
Strengthened ties between China and North Korea • 25%
No significant change in alliances • 25%
Official announcements from Asian countries or credible geopolitical analyses
Story
North Korea-Russia Defense Pact Signed by Kim and Putin in June Now in Force
Dec 4, 2024, 10:27 PM
North Korea and Russia have officially activated a comprehensive strategic partnership treaty, which includes a defense pact signed by Kim Jong Un and Vladimir Putin in June. The agreement has entered into force following the exchange of ratification documents between the two nations, as reported by North Korea's state media KCNA. This treaty marks a significant development in the relationship between Pyongyang and Moscow, potentially influencing regional security dynamics amidst ongoing tensions involving Russia's conflict in Ukraine.
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No change • 25%
Strengthened alliances with Russia • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Weakened alliances • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Cooperation ends • 25%
Increase nuclear development • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Seek international alliances • 25%
Strengthen conventional forces • 25%
Focus on cyber warfare • 25%
Increased aggression towards South Korea • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Enhanced missile testing • 25%
Existing alliances weakened • 25%
Existing alliances strengthened • 25%
New military alliances formed • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Strengthened alliances in Asia • 25%
Other geopolitical shifts • 25%
Increased tensions with NATO • 25%
International sanctions • 25%
Increased military aid to Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
New alliance against Israel • 25%
Increased support for Iran • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased support for Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Cultural exchange • 25%
Economic cooperation • 25%
Military alliance • 25%
Strengthened military alliance • 25%
No significant development • 25%
Joint technological projects • 25%
Increased economic cooperation • 25%