Market
How will military alliances change in the region by July 31, 2025?
2
Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Operation Many Ways•Iranian•Masyaf•Syria•Shaldag•Deep Layer•Iran•Hezbollah•Israel
Resolution / Starting Odds
New alliance against Israel • 25%
Increased support for Israel • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased support for Iran • 25%
Official announcements from involved countries or credible news sources reporting on new alliances or changes in military support.
Story
IDF's 120 Commandos Destroy Iranian Underground Missile Factory in Syria
Jan 2, 2025, 04:06 PM
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have officially confirmed that on September 8, 2024, they conducted a covert commando raid, code-named "Operation Many Ways," on an underground Iranian missile manufacturing facility near Masyaf in Syria. The operation involved 120 soldiers from the IDF's elite Shaldag unit, who were airlifted into Syria. The commandos killed guards, collected intelligence, and destroyed the facility within two hours. The facility, code-named "Deep Layer," was built into a mountain and was intended to produce precision-guided missiles for use by Iran and Hezbollah against Israel. The IDF declassified details and footage of the operation on January 2, 2025, highlighting it as one of their most daring and complex commando operations.
View original story
Similar markets
No significant changes • 25%
Strengthened NATO ties • 25%
Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
New military alliances • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Weakened alliances • 25%
No change • 25%
Strengthened alliances with Russia • 25%
Existing alliances strengthened • 25%
Existing alliances weakened • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
New military alliances formed • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other regions • 25%
Asia-Pacific countries • 25%
U.S. and allies • 25%
New defense strategies • 25%
Strengthened alliances • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Existing alliances strengthened • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Alliances weakened • 25%
No significant change in alliances • 25%
Formation of a new military alliance • 25%
Increased US presence in Asia • 25%
Strengthened ties between China and North Korea • 25%
Current alliances strengthen • 25%
New alliance forms • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Alliances weaken significantly • 25%
Strengthened alliances • 25%
Weakened alliances • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Strengthened Russia-Syria ties • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Strengthened Israel-US ties • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Strengthened alliances • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Weakened alliances • 25%
Increased cooperation with Western countries • 25%
Strengthened Iran-Iraq alliance • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration of Iran-Iraq relations • 25%