Market
How will NATO's stance on Ukraine's membership change by December 31, 2025?
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Russia•Donald Trump•Ukraine•NATO•European•British•Russian•Sergey Lavrov•Moscow•Vladimir Putin•Lavrov•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
NATO accelerates membership • 25%
NATO maintains current stance • 25%
NATO delays membership • 25%
NATO withdraws offer • 25%
Official NATO statements or policy changes
Story
Russia Rejects Trump's Proposal to Delay Ukraine's NATO Membership for 20 Years and Deploy European and British Peacekeepers
Dec 29, 2024, 03:33 PM
Russia has firmly rejected a proposal from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump to delay Ukraine's NATO membership for 20 years and to deploy European and British peacekeepers in the country. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated that Moscow finds the proposal unacceptable, reiterating a stance previously expressed by President Vladimir Putin. Lavrov emphasized that any discussions regarding Ukraine's NATO accession must be unbreakable and that Russia remains open to negotiations, but only under conditions that meet its demands. The rejection of Trump's proposal reflects ongoing tensions surrounding NATO's expansion and Russia's strategic interests in the region.
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Membership negotiations ongoing • 25%
No progress on membership • 25%
Membership invitation issued but not finalized • 25%
Ukraine receives full membership • 25%
Decision postponed • 25%
Invitation granted • 25%
Invitation denied • 25%
Other • 25%
Membership delayed • 25%
No change • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
No significant changes • 34%
Changes in membership criteria • 33%
Changes in defense commitments • 33%
Membership application pending • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership application rejected • 25%
No application • 25%
Membership negotiations started • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership delayed • 25%
Membership rejected • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Majority against • 25%
Majority in favor • 25%
Rejection of membership request • 25%
Formal invitation extended • 25%
No official response • 25%
Alternative security guarantees offered • 25%
No progress • 25%
Other status • 25%
Full NATO member • 25%
Official candidate status • 25%
Full Member • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Security guarantees without NATO membership • 25%
Membership invitation extended • 25%
Full NATO membership granted • 25%
Candidate Status • 25%
Pending • 25%
Rejected • 25%