Market
What changes will occur in North Korean military strategy by May 31, 2025?
2
North Korean•Russia•Ukrainian•Kursk•South Korean•South Korea•National Intelligence Service•NIS•Kim Jong Un
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased training • 25%
Change in deployment strategy • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Unknown strategy • 25%
Reports from military analysts and South Korean intelligence
Story
100 North Korean Soldiers Killed, 1,000 Injured in Kursk Region: South Korea
Dec 19, 2024, 10:05 AM
At least 100 North Korean soldiers deployed to Russia have been killed, with another 1,000 injured in combat against Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region, according to South Korean lawmaker Lee Seong-kweun. The casualties were reported following a closed-door briefing by South Korea's National Intelligence Service (NIS). The high number of casualties is attributed to the North Korean troops' lack of experience in drone warfare and unfamiliarity with the open terrain where they are engaged in battle. Despite these losses, there are indications that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un is preparing to train a new special operations force for potential deployment to Russia.
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Continued mass infantry assaults • 25%
Increased air support • 25%
Shift to defensive operations • 25%
Withdrawal from active combat • 25%
Decrease deployment • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
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Increase deployment • 25%
Seek international alliances • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Strengthen conventional forces • 25%
Increase nuclear development • 25%
Nuclear test • 25%
Other military action • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Missile launch • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Significant casualties reported • 25%
No major development • 25%
Increase in troop numbers • 25%
Change in North Korean leadership • 25%
Joint Russian-North Korean military strategy • 25%
No changes reported • 25%
Change in Russian military strategy • 25%
Improved camouflage tactics • 25%
Other • 25%
Enhanced drone countermeasures • 25%
Increased use of technology • 25%
New Missile Technology • 25%
Enhanced Cyber Warfare • 25%
Improved Conventional Forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Focus on cyber warfare • 25%
Enhanced missile testing • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased aggression towards South Korea • 25%
Other • 25%
Nuclear test • 25%
Missile test • 25%
Military exercise • 25%
No change • 25%
Weakened alliances • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Strengthened alliances with Russia • 25%