How will major world powers respond to Iran's enrichment activities by mid-2024?
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Official statements or actions by the United Nations, United States, European Union, or other major powers
IAEA: Iran Increasing Uranium Enrichment Up to Eightfold at Fordow, Near Weapons-Grade Levels
Dec 6, 2024, 03:34 PM
Iran is poised to dramatically increase its production of highly enriched uranium, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has warned. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi said on Friday that Iran is significantly expanding its capacity to enrich uranium to 60% purity, a level close to the 90% required for weapons-grade material. This increase is mainly at Iran's Fordow site, which is built into a mountain. According to Grossi, Iran was previously enriching uranium to 60% at a rate of around 5-7 kilograms per month, but this rate is set to rise to "seven, eight times more, maybe, or even more". On December 5, the IAEA verified that Iran had started feeding uranium enriched up to 20%, rather than the previous 5%, into two interconnected IR-6 centrifuge cascades at Fordow to produce uranium enriched up to 60%. This development comes after Iran abandoned its short-lived pledge to stop enriching uranium close to weapons-grade levels. A recent US intelligence report indicated that Iran is capable of producing more than 12 nuclear bombs if it enriches its uranium stockpiles. The German Foreign Ministry described Iran's actions as a "grave escalatory step" that significantly worsens conditions for diplomacy.
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Status quo maintained • 25%
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Diplomatic engagement • 25%
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Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
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Diplomatic efforts increased • 25%
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Seek diplomatic resolution • 25%
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Increase enrichment further • 25%
Pause enrichment • 25%
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Support by NATO • 25%
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Condemnation by UN • 25%
Pursue nuclear weapons • 25%
Seek diplomatic resolution • 25%
Enhance nuclear energy use • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
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Widespread condemnation • 25%
General support • 25%
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90% or above • 25%
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75% - 89% • 25%