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What will Iran's response be to uranium enrichment scrutiny by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase enrichment further • 25%
Pause enrichment • 25%
Seek diplomatic resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Official Iranian government statements or actions
Story
Iran's Uranium Enrichment Surges to 60% Purity, Edging Closer to Nuclear Weapons Capability
Dec 6, 2024, 01:12 PM
Iran has significantly ramped up its uranium enrichment activities, according to a U.S. intelligence report and statements from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). IAEA Chief Rafael Grossi revealed to Reuters that Iran's production of uranium enriched to up to 60% purity, which is near weapons-grade, has dramatically increased from a previous rate of around 5-7 kg per month. This escalation in enrichment capacity comes as a response to Israeli attacks and Western sanctions, with the U.S. intelligence warning that Iran is edging closer to nuclear weapons capability. Iran now has the potential to produce more than 12 nuclear bombs if it enriches its current uranium stockpiles, far exceeding its alleged civilian nuclear ambitions.
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Denies accusations • 25%
Other • 25%
Continues enrichment • 25%
Agrees to inspections • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Military confrontation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Retaliate militarily • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Seek diplomatic talks • 25%
Escalate nuclear activities • 25%
Ignore • 25%
Negotiate • 25%
Retaliate • 25%
Comply • 25%
Withdraws support for Houthis • 25%
Increases military support for Houthis • 25%
No change in stance • 25%
Engages in diplomatic talks • 25%