Market
What will be the international response to U.S. actions on Iran's nuclear ambitions by September 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Support by NATO • 25%
Mixed international response • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Statements from the United Nations or major international alliances like NATO
Story
Trump Weighs Preemptive Strikes on Iran Amid Fears of Nuclear Breakout
Dec 13, 2024, 05:23 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is actively considering aggressive measures to prevent Iran from advancing its nuclear weapons program, according to reports from the Wall Street Journal. Options under consideration include preemptive airstrikes and the potential transfer of "bunker-buster" bombs to Israel, marking a potential shift from the longstanding U.S. policy of containing Tehran through diplomacy and sanctions. Trump's advisers are concerned that economic pressure alone may not be sufficient to halt Iran's nuclear ambitions, and Trump has expressed concern that Iran might achieve nuclear capability during his term. In response to a question from Time Magazine about the possibility of war with Iran, Trump stated that "anything is possible."
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Similar markets
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
General support • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support from NATO allies • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Mixed Reactions • 25%
Calls for Diplomacy • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Other • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic efforts increased • 25%
Military action considered • 25%
Minimal international response • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Widespread support for Israel • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Support by NATO • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Military confrontation • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
US sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
EU diplomatic efforts • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
New Sanctions • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
Call for Investigation • 25%
Support for Iran • 25%
Condemnation of Iran • 25%
No Official Response • 25%