Market
How will Iran respond to potential sanctions by the UK, France, and Germany by September 30, 2025?
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Iran•Fordow•International Atomic Energy Agency•IAEA•United Kingdom•France•Germany•Board of Governors•Iranian•Mohammad Eslami•Atomic Energy Organization
Resolution / Starting Odds
Negotiate • 25%
Retaliate • 25%
Comply • 25%
Ignore • 25%
Official statements from the Iranian government and credible news sources
Story
Iran Agrees to Increased IAEA Oversight at Fordow Enrichment Facility Amid Western Threats of Sanctions
Dec 14, 2024, 01:25 AM
Iran has agreed to increase oversight of its Fordow enrichment facility, according to a report from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). This decision comes as Iran has accelerated uranium enrichment activities, nearing weapons-grade levels. The IAEA indicated that Iran's agreement includes more frequent and stringent inspections at the site. In response to this development, the United Kingdom, France, and Germany have expressed readiness to reinstate sanctions against Iran if necessary to prevent the country from acquiring nuclear weapons. This potential action aligns with their commitment to maintaining nuclear non-proliferation and follows a resolution by the IAEA's Board of Governors aimed at increasing accountability for Iran's nuclear program. Iranian officials, including Mohammad Eslami, head of the Atomic Energy Organization, confirmed that Iran would not obstruct IAEA inspections and acknowledged that increased enrichment capacity would naturally lead to more inspections.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Compliance with demands • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Increase in nuclear activities • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Uranium enrichment levels • 25%
Lack of cooperation with IAEA • 25%
Regional security concerns • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Seek diplomatic resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase enrichment further • 25%
Pause enrichment • 25%
Increases military support for Houthis • 25%
No change in stance • 25%
Engages in diplomatic talks • 25%
Withdraws support for Houthis • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Escalate nuclear activities • 25%
Retaliate militarily • 25%
Seek diplomatic talks • 25%
Continues enrichment • 25%
Agrees to inspections • 25%
Denies accusations • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased nuclear activity • 25%
Retaliatory military action • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
General support • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%