Market
Primary Iranian response to US sanctions by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Official statements from the Iranian government or news reports
Story
US Sanctions Two Entities and Individuals, Including CEO Mohammad Abedini Najafabadi, Linked to Iran's Military Navigation Systems on December 18, 2024
Dec 18, 2024, 04:03 PM
The United States Treasury Department has imposed sanctions on two entities and two individuals linked to the development and procurement of sensitive navigational systems for Iran's military. This action, announced on December 18, 2024, targets those involved in supplying components critical to Iran's military capabilities. The sanctioned individuals include Mohammad Abedini Najafabadi, the CEO of the company Rahpooyan Aflak, and Kaveh Morat, a senior executive. The sanctions reflect ongoing efforts by the U.S. to curb Iran's military advancements through economic measures.
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No significant response • 25%
Seek diplomatic talks • 25%
Escalate nuclear activities • 25%
Retaliate militarily • 25%
Military actions • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Cyberattacks • 25%
Military support to Houthis • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Retaliate • 25%
Ignore • 25%
Comply • 25%
Negotiate • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increase in nuclear activities • 25%
Compliance with demands • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Drone technology • 25%
Missile technology • 25%
Naval capabilities • 25%
Cyber warfare • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military strike • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
