Market
How will international community react to CIA's COVID-19 origins report?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Supportive • 25%
Critical • 25%
Mixed • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Statements from UN or major countries
Story
CIA Director John Ratcliffe to Investigate COVID Origins from Wuhan Institute of Virology, Highlighting China's Geopolitical Threat as 'Day-One Thing'
Jan 24, 2025, 02:59 PM
CIA Director John Ratcliffe has announced a comprehensive review of the agency's handling of the origins of COVID-19, emphasizing his commitment to investigate the possibility of a lab leak from the Wuhan Institute of Virology. Ratcliffe described this inquiry as a 'day-one thing' for his leadership. He also expressed concern that the U.S. Intelligence Community has been slow to recognize China as the primary geopolitical threat, attributing this to an outdated Cold War mindset. Ratcliffe's statements come amid growing scrutiny over the origins of the pandemic and the role of Chinese authorities.
View original story
Similar markets
No significant international reaction • 25%
International investigation is launched • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
China denies and counters the assessment • 25%
Challenged • 25%
No Change • 25%
Modified • 25%
Endorsed • 25%
Other significant actions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Calls for international investigation • 25%
Increased diplomatic pressure on China • 25%
Denial and condemnation • 25%
No official response • 25%
Acceptance and cooperation • 25%
Counter-accusations • 25%
Other • 25%
Lab leak • 25%
Natural transmission • 25%
No joint report • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Sanctions against China • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No public conclusion • 25%
Indeterminate findings • 25%
Natural origin confirmed • 25%
Lab leak theory confirmed • 25%
Diplomatic Action • 25%
Policy Change • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
No Action • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
Lab Leak • 25%
Natural Origins • 25%
Inconclusive • 34%
Natural origin • 33%
Lab origin • 33%
Inconclusive • 25%
Lab Leak Confirmed • 25%
Other Conclusion • 25%
Natural Origin Confirmed • 25%