Market
Federal court rules on legal challenges to Trump's gender recognition orders by end of 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Federal court rulings published on government or legal websites
Story
Trump Declares Only Two Genders, Bans Transgender Athletes in Women's Sports
Jan 23, 2025, 04:17 PM
President Donald Trump signed a series of executive orders on his first day in office declaring that the U.S. government recognizes only two genders, male and female, reversing previous policies on LGBTQ+ rights established under the Biden administration. The orders instruct federal agencies to 'cease pretending that men can be women and women can be men' and prohibit the use of government funds for 'gender ideology.' In his inauguration speech and remarks at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Trump stated, 'I've made it the official policy of the United States that there are only two genders, male and female. We will have no men participating in women's sports.' He further indicated that 'transgender operations, which became the rage, will occur very rarely.' The policies are expected to face legal challenges, as they conflict with recent Supreme Court rulings that protect LGBTQ+ individuals from discrimination.
View original story
Similar markets
Circuit Court • 25%
District Court • 25%
No ruling by end of 2025 • 25%
Supreme Court • 25%
Orders partially overturned • 25%
Orders fully overturned • 25%
No decision by end of 2025 • 25%
Orders upheld • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%