Market
Outcome of legal challenges to Trump's gender recognition orders by end of 2025
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Upheld • 25%
Partially overturned • 25%
Fully overturned • 25%
Pending • 25%
Court rulings or legal documents from federal courts
Story
Trump to Stop Transgender Lunacy, Recognize Only Two Genders with Executive Orders on First Day
Dec 23, 2024, 04:43 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to implement policies on his first day in office aimed at reversing current transgender rights. He stated that under his administration, the official policy of the United States government will recognize only two genders: male and female. Trump emphasized his intention to sign executive orders to 'stop the transgender lunacy,' which includes removing transgender individuals from the military and educational institutions, as well as prohibiting men from participating in women's sports. These declarations reflect a broader Republican agenda against LGBTQ rights, coinciding with their control over both chambers of Congress and the presidency.
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Orders partially blocked • 25%
Settled out of court • 25%
Orders upheld • 25%
Orders fully blocked • 25%
Some upheld, some blocked • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
All blocked • 25%
All upheld • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No Challenges • 25%
1-5 Challenges • 25%
More than 10 Challenges • 25%
6-10 Challenges • 25%
More than 5 Challenges • 25%
No Challenges • 25%
1-2 Challenges • 25%
3-5 Challenges • 25%
EO upheld • 25%
EO partially blocked • 25%
EO fully blocked • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
Some challenges, none successful • 25%
No significant challenges • 25%
Some challenges, some successful • 25%
Majority of challenges successful • 25%
Some challenges • 33%
No major challenges • 33%
Major challenges • 34%
Order partially upheld • 25%
Order upheld • 25%
Order blocked • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
