Market
Will federal courts block Trump's gender definition executive order by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Federal court rulings and public announcements
Story
Trump to Sign 'Defending Women from Gender Ideology Extremism' Executive Order Defining Male and Female on January 20, 2025
Jan 20, 2025, 01:06 AM
On January 20, 2025, President Trump is set to sign an executive order titled 'Defending Women from Gender Ideology Extremism and Restoring Biological Truth to the Federal Government.' This order aims to establish a government-wide recognition of the biological reality of two sexes, defining male and female explicitly. It will also address various policies related to gender identity, including the prohibition of housing biological men in women’s prisons and the elimination of self-identification on passports. The executive order reflects a broader push against what supporters describe as 'gender ideology.'
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
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Yes • 50%
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EO upheld • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
EO fully blocked • 25%
EO partially blocked • 25%
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No • 50%
Majority of states oppose or challenge • 25%
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Mixed responses • 25%
Majority of states adopt similar policies • 25%
