Market
Country taking significant diplomatic action over U.S. Greenland push by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Denmark • 25%
Greenland • 25%
European Union • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Official statements from involved countries or credible news sources
Story
Trump Threatens Tariffs in Aggressive Push for Greenland, Citing National Security
Jan 24, 2025, 09:36 PM
U.S. President Donald Trump has intensified his efforts to acquire Greenland, an autonomous territory of Denmark, sparking a diplomatic crisis. In a recent 45-minute phone call with Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, Trump reportedly became aggressive, insisting on U.S. control over Greenland and threatening tariffs on Denmark if the territory was not sold to the U.S. The call, described as 'horrendous' by sources, has left Denmark in 'crisis mode' as it grapples with the implications of Trump's demands. Trump's interest in Greenland stems from its strategic importance for U.S. national security, particularly in the context of competition with Russia and China in the Arctic region. Despite Trump's insistence, both Denmark and Greenland have maintained that the island is not for sale, with Greenland's Prime Minister Mute Egede emphasizing the right of Greenland's residents to decide their future.
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Other • 25%
Denmark • 25%
France • 25%
Germany • 25%
Increased cooperation without purchase • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Formal purchase proposal • 33%
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Increased military presence • 25%
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Greenland agrees to negotiations • 25%
Denmark agrees to negotiations • 25%
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Status quo remains • 25%
Denmark rejects the demand • 25%
Denmark agrees to negotiations • 25%
Greenland gains more autonomy • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
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Canada • 25%
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United Kingdom • 25%
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U.S., Denmark, and Russia • 25%
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U.S., Denmark, and China • 25%
U.S. and Denmark • 25%