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Impact on Trump's 2024 candidacy after legal allegations
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Drops Out of Race • 25%
Loses Nomination • 25%
Wins Nomination • 25%
Other • 25%
Election results, political analysts' reports, and party nomination outcomes.
Story
Cohen Testifies in NY: Trump Approved Hush Money Payments
May 13, 2024, 08:56 PM
During a high-profile trial in New York, Michael Cohen, former lawyer of Donald Trump, provided critical testimony implicating Trump in a hush money scheme. Cohen detailed how Trump approved payments to silence an adult film actress about their alleged affair to avoid damaging his 2016 electoral campaign. He also revealed discussions about recording these payments as legal bills, which Trump allegedly endorsed. Cohen's testimony was supported by documentary evidence. Following the testimony, Trump addressed the media, dismissing the allegations and criticizing the proceedings, reacting in a manner described as 'ranting'.
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Wins GOP nomination • 33%
Withdraws from race • 33%
Loses GOP nomination • 34%
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Trump runs as independent • 25%
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Remains GOP nominee • 33%
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Replaced as nominee • 34%
Trump drops out of 2024 presidential race • 33%
Trump continues 2024 presidential race • 33%
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Trump Withdraws from Race • 33%
Trump Continues Campaign • 33%
Republican Party Replaces Trump • 34%
Boosts Republican Candidate • 25%
Damages Republican Candidate • 25%
No Effect on Republican Candidate • 25%
Boosts Democratic Candidate • 25%
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Positive impact • 33%
Significant drop in poll numbers • 25%
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