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Market
Financial impact on Trump's campaign by end of 2024
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in Support • 33%
Decrease in Support • 33%
No Change in Support • 34%
Campaign finance reports, statements from major donors.
Story
Cohen Testifies in NY: Trump Approved Hush Money Payments
May 13, 2024, 08:56 PM
During a high-profile trial in New York, Michael Cohen, former lawyer of Donald Trump, provided critical testimony implicating Trump in a hush money scheme. Cohen detailed how Trump approved payments to silence an adult film actress about their alleged affair to avoid damaging his 2016 electoral campaign. He also revealed discussions about recording these payments as legal bills, which Trump allegedly endorsed. Cohen's testimony was supported by documentary evidence. Following the testimony, Trump addressed the media, dismissing the allegations and criticizing the proceedings, reacting in a manner described as 'ranting'.
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Significant drop in poll numbers • 25%
No significant change in poll numbers • 25%
Increase in campaign donations • 25%
Decrease in campaign donations • 25%
Significant increase • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Decrease • 33%
Increase in fundraising • 33%
No change in fundraising • 34%
Decrease in fundraising • 33%
Drop out of race • 25%
Continue campaign with reduced support • 25%
Continue campaign with same support • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Less than $150 million • 25%
$150 million to $200 million • 25%
$200 million to $250 million • 25%
More than $250 million • 25%
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Slightly negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Boosts campaign • 25%
Under $100 million • 33%
$100 million to $150 million • 33%
Over $150 million • 33%
Increases from April levels • 33%
Remains about the same as April • 34%
Decreases from April levels • 33%
Less than $100 million • 25%
$100 million to $200 million • 25%
$200 million to $300 million • 25%
More than $300 million • 25%
$50 million - $75 million • 33%
$75 million - $100 million • 34%
Over $100 million • 33%
Significant loss of support • 25%
Moderate loss of support • 25%
No impact on support • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Less than $70M • 25%
$70M to $100M • 25%
$100M to $130M • 25%
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