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Effect of Trump's hush money case on 2024 Presidential Election
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Boosts Republican Candidate • 25%
Damages Republican Candidate • 25%
No Effect on Republican Candidate • 25%
Boosts Democratic Candidate • 25%
Election results, political analyst commentary, and voter polls
Story
Republicans Hopeful Trump Will Avoid Conviction in New York Hush Money Case
May 28, 2024, 07:30 PM
Republicans are cautiously optimistic that former President Donald Trump will not be convicted in his New York hush money case. The defense has given its closing arguments in the Manhattan trial. However, there are concerns about the proposed jury instruction, which some argue could encourage a conviction without proof of illegal activity. Republicans are prepared to blame partisan bias if the jury returns a guilty verdict.
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Positive Impact • 33%
No Impact • 33%
Negative Impact • 34%
Significantly harms • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Boosts his campaign • 34%
Significantly Positive Impact • 25%
No Significant Impact • 25%
Significantly Negative Impact • 25%
Neutral Impact • 25%
Increase in support • 33%
Decrease in support • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Significantly damaged • 25%
Moderately affected • 25%
Minor or no impact • 25%
Enhanced • 25%
Trump drops out of 2024 presidential race • 33%
Trump continues 2024 presidential race • 33%
Trump switches to independent run • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significantly damages campaign • 33%
Minor or no effect on campaign • 33%
Boosts campaign due to public sympathy • 34%
Significantly damaged • 33%
Somewhat damaged • 33%
No impact • 34%
Negatively impacts Democrat candidate • 33%
No significant impact on election • 33%
Boosts Republican candidate • 34%
Significantly negative impact • 25%
Slightly negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Boosts campaign • 25%