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How will Trump's political career be impacted following the hush money trial verdict by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significantly damaged • 25%
Moderately affected • 25%
Minor or no impact • 25%
Enhanced • 25%
Polling data and political analyst reports
Story
Trump's Hush Money Trial Nears Conclusion with Jury Deliberations in NYC
May 28, 2024, 03:33 PM
Closing arguments have begun in the landmark hush money trial of former President Donald Trump in New York City. Trump's lawyer asserted his innocence, emphasizing that this is the first jury in U.S. history to decide on convicting a former president. The trial, which could conclude as soon as tomorrow depending on jury deliberations, has seen intense media coverage and public interest. Reporting live from the courtroom, various news outlets have highlighted the significance of the case, with some speculating on the potential outcomes, including acquittal, guilty verdict, or a hung jury. In what has been described as 'Biden territory,' some believe the Biden team is 'crossing their fingers' for a guilty verdict.
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Similar markets
Significantly damaged • 33%
Moderately affected • 33%
No significant impact • 34%
Significantly damaged • 33%
Somewhat damaged • 33%
No impact • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significantly Positive Impact • 25%
No Significant Impact • 25%
Significantly Negative Impact • 25%
Neutral Impact • 25%
Significantly harms • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Boosts his campaign • 34%
Increase in support • 33%
Decrease in support • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Trump drops out of 2024 presidential race • 33%
Trump continues 2024 presidential race • 33%
Trump switches to independent run • 34%
Significantly Positive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Significantly Negative • 25%
No Impact • 25%
Positively impacts • 50%
Negatively impacts • 50%
Boosts Republican Candidate • 25%
Damages Republican Candidate • 25%
No Effect on Republican Candidate • 25%
Boosts Democratic Candidate • 25%
Significantly harms political future • 33%
No significant impact on political future • 33%
Boosts political support • 34%