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How will Lebanon's international relations change under Nawaf Salam by December 31, 2025?
2
Lebanon•Joseph Aoun•Nawaf Salam•International Court of Justice•Lebanese•United Nations•Salam•Hezbollah•Najib Mikati
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations with the West • 25%
Improved relations with regional powers • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deteriorating relations • 25%
Statements from international bodies or foreign governments, news reports
Story
Nawaf Salam, ICJ President, Appointed Lebanon's Prime Minister After Securing 85 Votes; Setback for Hezbollah
Jan 13, 2025, 02:10 PM
Lebanon's President Joseph Aoun has appointed Nawaf Salam, the President of the International Court of Justice and former Lebanese ambassador to the United Nations, as the new Prime Minister after he secured sufficient parliamentary support. Salam received 85 out of 128 votes from lawmakers, surpassing the required majority. His designation is seen as a setback for Hezbollah, which backed the incumbent caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati. Salam, a veteran diplomat known for his reformist and anti-corruption stance, is expected to form a government to tackle Lebanon's ongoing economic crisis.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Economic Reform • 25%
Other • 25%
Anti-Corruption Measures • 25%
Social Welfare Programs • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations with both • 25%
Improved relations with Syria • 25%
Improved relations with Israel • 25%
Successful formation • 25%
Partial success with coalition • 25%
Failure to form government • 25%
Resignation • 25%
No change in corruption levels • 25%
Moderate reduction in corruption • 25%
Significant reduction in corruption • 25%
Increase in corruption • 25%
Balanced approach • 25%
Stronger ties with Eastern countries • 25%
Stronger ties with Western countries • 25%
No significant change • 25%
50% to 60% • 25%
Below 40% • 25%
Above 60% • 25%
40% to 50% • 25%