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What will be the outcome of Nawaf Salam's government formation efforts by June 30, 2025?
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Nawaf Salam•International Court of Justice•ICJ•Lebanese•United Nations•Lebanon•Hezbollah•Najib Mikati•Salam•Joseph Aoun•The Hague•Beirut
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful formation • 25%
Partial success with coalition • 25%
Failure to form government • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Official announcements and credible news reports
Story
Nawaf Salam Secures 85 Votes to Become Lebanon's Prime Minister, Dealing Blow to Hezbollah
Jan 13, 2025, 02:47 PM
Nawaf Salam, President of the International Court of Justice (ICJ) and former Lebanese ambassador to the United Nations, has secured 85 out of 128 parliamentary votes to become Lebanon's next Prime Minister. His appointment represents a setback for Hezbollah, which had supported incumbent Prime Minister Najib Mikati. Salam is known for his reform-minded and anti-corruption stance. President Joseph Aoun is expected to formally appoint Salam, who will return from The Hague to Beirut to form a new government.
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Similar markets
Anti-Corruption Measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic Reform • 25%
Social Welfare Programs • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Other • 25%
Free Patriotic Movement • 25%
Future Movement • 25%
Economic reforms • 25%
Anti-corruption measures • 25%
Judicial reforms • 25%
Other • 25%
Moderate reduction in corruption • 25%
No change in corruption levels • 25%
Increase in corruption • 25%
Significant reduction in corruption • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deteriorating relations • 25%
Improved relations with regional powers • 25%
Improved relations with the West • 25%
40% to 50% • 25%
Below 40% • 25%
Above 60% • 25%
50% to 60% • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%