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Market
Will Hezbollah publicly oppose Nawaf Salam's government by June 30, 2025?
2
Lebanon•Joseph Aoun•Nawaf Salam•International Court of Justice•Lebanese•United Nations•Salam•Hezbollah•Najib Mikati
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Hezbollah or coverage by reputable news agencies
Story
Nawaf Salam, ICJ President, Appointed Lebanon's Prime Minister After Securing 85 Votes; Setback for Hezbollah
Jan 13, 2025, 02:10 PM
Lebanon's President Joseph Aoun has appointed Nawaf Salam, the President of the International Court of Justice and former Lebanese ambassador to the United Nations, as the new Prime Minister after he secured sufficient parliamentary support. Salam received 85 out of 128 votes from lawmakers, surpassing the required majority. His designation is seen as a setback for Hezbollah, which backed the incumbent caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati. Salam, a veteran diplomat known for his reformist and anti-corruption stance, is expected to form a government to tackle Lebanon's ongoing economic crisis.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Free Patriotic Movement • 25%
Future Movement • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Supports ceasefire, takes action against Hezbollah • 25%
Supports ceasefire, no action against Hezbollah • 25%
Opposes ceasefire, supports Hezbollah • 25%
Withdraw support entirely • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
Provide logistical support • 25%
Send fighters • 25%