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Effect of Trump's Wildwood rally on NJ Republican electoral success in 2024
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in Republican seats • 33%
No change in Republican seats • 33%
Decrease in Republican seats • 33%
Election results in New Jersey
Story
Trump's Wildwood Rally Draws Record 80,000, Largest in NJ History
May 11, 2024, 09:25 PM
Former President Donald Trump held a massive rally in Wildwood, New Jersey, drawing an unprecedented crowd estimated at 80,000 attendees, making it the largest political rally in the state's history according to Rep. Jeff Van Drew. The event was extensively covered by various media outlets and was broadcast live, with Trump scheduled to speak at 5 pm ET. Local authorities and event organizers had initially anticipated a turnout of 30,000 to 40,000 people. The rally was part of Trump's ongoing efforts to expand his electoral map for the upcoming elections, with Trump himself stating his intention to win New Jersey.
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Similar markets
Increased Republican voter turnout • 33%
Increased independent voter turnout • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Positive impact • 50%
No impact • 50%
Significant increase • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Decrease • 33%
Drop out of race • 25%
Continue campaign with reduced support • 25%
Continue campaign with same support • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Significantly positive impact • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
Negligible impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
Increase GOP seats • 33%
No change in seats • 33%
Decrease GOP seats • 33%
Improved Performance • 33%
No Change in Performance • 34%
Worsened Performance • 33%
Significant boost to national campaign • 33%
Limited impact, focus remains on traditional strongholds • 33%
Backlash leading to decreased support in other regions • 34%
Increase in fundraising • 33%
No change in fundraising • 34%
Decrease in fundraising • 33%
Boosts Republican Candidate • 25%
Damages Republican Candidate • 25%
No Effect on Republican Candidate • 25%
Boosts Democratic Candidate • 25%
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant positive impact • 33%
Significant Increase in Support • 33%
No Change in Support • 34%
Decrease in Support • 33%