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Impact on GOP seats in SC 2024 elections
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase GOP seats • 33%
No change in seats • 33%
Decrease GOP seats • 33%
Election results
Story
Supreme Court Upholds GOP-Drawn South Carolina Map in 6-3 Decision on Racial Gerrymandering
May 23, 2024, 02:25 PM
The U.S. Supreme Court has upheld a GOP-drawn congressional map for South Carolina in the case of Alexander v. SC NAACP, reversing a lower court decision that had found the map to be an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. In a 6-3 decision, the conservative majority, led by Justice Samuel Alito, ruled that the map did not unlawfully consider race when redrawing the district, which had removed approximately 30,000 Black voters. All three liberal justices dissented. Justice Clarence Thomas, in a concurring opinion, emphasized that federal courts should not intervene in such cases. The ruling is seen as a significant victory for South Carolina Republicans and has broader implications for future challenges to partisan and racial gerrymandering.
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Democrats gain seats • 33%
Republicans gain seats • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Increase in GOP seats • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in GOP seats • 25%
Increase in Democratic seats • 25%
Republican majority • 33%
Democratic majority • 33%
Split Senate • 34%
Democrats gain seats • 33%
Republicans gain seats • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Increase in voter turnout • 33%
Decrease in voter turnout • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Increase in GOP seats • 25%
Decrease in GOP seats • 25%
No significant change in GOP seats • 25%
Significant lawsuits impacting election outcomes • 25%
Gain seats • 33%
Lose seats • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Unexpected positive impact • 34%
Increase in Republican seats • 33%
No change in Republican seats • 33%
Decrease in Republican seats • 33%