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Announcement of U.S.-China high-level meeting on Taiwan by November 30
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Scheduled meeting announced • 50%
No meeting announced • 50%
Official announcements from either the U.S. or Chinese government
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Bipartisan U.S. Lawmakers Visit Taiwan Amid China's Warnings, Military Drills
May 26, 2024, 12:07 PM
A bipartisan delegation of U.S. lawmakers, led by Michael McCaul, chair of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, has arrived in Taiwan. The visit, which will last from May 26 to May 30, comes amid warnings from China for the U.S. to stay out of its affairs. The American Institute in Taiwan, the de facto U.S. embassy, confirmed the visit, which follows closely after China's largest military exercise around the island in a year. The delegation's arrival underscores ongoing tensions between the U.S. and China over Taiwan. The visit is scheduled from Sunday to Thursday.
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Increase in high-level meetings • 25%
Formal talks at an international summit • 25%
Implementation of new communication channels • 25%
No significant increase in diplomatic engagements • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased trade agreements • 33%
Maintained current level • 33%
Reduced trade agreements • 33%
Military drill • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Diplomatic protest • 34%
Formal defense treaty • 33%
Increased military support • 33%
Continued strategic ambiguity • 34%
Economic sanctions against China • 33%
Increased military support for Taiwan • 33%
No significant action taken • 34%
Further trade restrictions • 33%
Financial sanctions • 33%
Diplomatic measures • 34%
