Loading...
Market
Outcome of Taiwan-US trade talks in the next year
5
Taiwan•China•Taiwanese•Lai•United States•Biden•State Department•House Foreign Affairs Committee•Michael McCaul•Taiwan Strait•Sean Bell
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased trade agreements • 33%
Maintained current level • 33%
Reduced trade agreements • 33%
Joint official statements from the US and Taiwan trade departments
Story
Taiwan's New President Lai Ching-te Faces Chinese Military Drills, US Reaffirms Support with McCaul Visit
May 27, 2024, 12:07 AM
Following the inauguration of Taiwan's new President Lai Ching-te on May 20, China has conducted extensive military drills around Taiwan, including mock videos of missile attacks on Taiwanese cities. Despite the heightened military activity, President Lai has extended goodwill and cooperation toward China. The United States has reaffirmed its support for Taiwan, with President Biden and the State Department voicing concerns over China's actions during a routine democratic transition. A bipartisan U.S. congressional delegation, led by House Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman Michael McCaul, visited Taiwan to discuss regional security, trade, and investment, signaling strong U.S. support for Taiwan's defense and stability in the Taiwan Strait. Military analyst Sean Bell noted that China's actions appear to be testing Taiwan's defensive capabilities.
View original story
Similar markets
Increase in arms sales • 33%
Decrease in arms sales • 33%
No change in arms sales • 34%
Relations improve significantly • 33%
No significant change in relations • 33%
Relations deteriorate • 34%
Increase in high-level meetings • 25%
Formal talks at an international summit • 25%
Implementation of new communication channels • 25%
No significant increase in diplomatic engagements • 25%
Improvement in relations • 33%
Deterioration in relations • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Increase • 33%
Stay the same • 33%
Decrease • 33%
Formal defense treaty • 33%
Increased military support • 33%
Continued strategic ambiguity • 34%
No conflict • 33%
Limited skirmishes • 33%
Full-scale conflict • 34%
US intervenes militarily • 33%
China takes military action • 33%
No significant military action • 34%
Increase in arms sales • 33%
Stable arms sales • 34%
Decrease in arms sales • 33%
Formal complaint to WTO • 25%
Bilateral negotiations • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Scheduled meeting announced • 50%
No meeting announced • 50%
Deterioration of trade relations • 33%
Improvement of trade relations • 33%
No significant change in trade relations • 34%